Sick Of Brexit? But It’s Now Getting Serious.
Saturday, 29. September 2018
If you’re like me you’re probably getting sick to death with hearing about it every single time you turn on the news or a political programme but it’s already starting to affect us. But we also have to be aware of the fact that Brexit is becoming a bit of a ‘catchall’ for all things wrong in a variety of industries.
Mini is bringing its ‘planned annual maintenance’ forward to 1st April 2019 just after we officially leave the EU. This will mean that the factory will shut for a month whilst they carry out urgent repairs but most understand that a slow down in sales has resulted in a drop in demand.
So they will shut the plant for a month to carry out ‘maintenance’ whilst the order book hopefully recovers. The official reason is that immediately following Brexit they could run into a major parts supply issue so they are taking precautions sooner rather than later – really?
In my view they need a change in design. You have to add in a Chili Pack to any of the models to get to the basic spec. of most competitors. The rates are keen but compared to the latest designs of A3, Golf, A Class and 1 Series the Mini is no longer current. Up the spec. levels and make the cars funkier. Low sales have nothing to do with Brexit.
In addition to the Mini factory shut down Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) have announced a 3 day week at their Castle Bromwich production plant affecting 3,000 workers. Again down to poor management. The factory builds XE, XF, XJ Saloons and F Type sports cars. Having been given the new emissions test rules in September 2017 they had a year to meet those standards.
It is my understanding that when their cars were tested they were failing the new tests which meant that they had to change the design of their cars to bring down the emissions. In turn, they shut down their order book and when customers couldn’t get their new Jaguar they simply turned to other manufacturers such as Mercedes, BMW and Audi.
The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders have expressed concerns for a bad deal or no deal Brexit. The average new car price is set to increase by £1,500 when imported into the UK under WTO tariffs with our exported cars into the EU increasing by £2,700 making our cars less attractive with the production plants potentially moving to the EU.
And not just the car builders, there is a raft of manufacturers that will feel the negative results following Brexit. From car carpets to dashboards there are component manufacturers that may feel the need to set up plants in Europe as the new duty charges and cost in delivery, especially if we see queues at the ports, result in costs increasing significantly.
The problem is that I’m not seeing a solution. Whilst most leavers that I know believed in the rhetoric that was being bandied about at the time of the vote that the likes of Germany and France wouldn’t want us to have no trade deal – which I believe is true but if I was in Belgium, Austria and say the Netherlands with no car manufacturing, seeing the opportunity of enticing UK manufacturers into their countries would be a great encouragement to vote no at any deal.
Time will tell but I’m seeing some very painful times ahead. Getting out is one thing but getting out with the right deal is something completely different. By Graham Hill